The two short answers to almost every question can be boiled down to ‘more has been promised than ever before, but is still not enough’ and ‘time will tell’. We won’t be able to truly tell the success of COP26 for at least ten years probably. Its success is inextricably linked to wider global economic and social shifts and the success of future COPs as well as what COP26 itself has set in train.
A fraught process
Attending any COP will engender a host of emotions: frustration, exasperation, exhaustion, despair, hope. I have the deepest respect for the negotiating teams who put themselves through the onslaught of sleepless nights, noise, not a moment’s peace for days on end.
Almost every country in the world is taking part - in some ways it’s incredible that anything is ever agreed at all. The end result signals where the whole world is at, collectively. And that is changing.
Their job is urging and entreating others to accept page after page of carefully chosen words to achieve the barest of inching forwards in global diplomacy. This may seem pointless to some, but I still think it is critically important. Almost every country in the world is taking part - in some ways it’s incredible that anything is ever agreed at all. The end result signals where the whole world is at, collectively. And that is changing.
But COP26 has really made me feel the weight, more than previous COPs, of the enormity of the task ahead. And the fear that we will not get there fast enough, a long-held fear that I know is widely shared.
The pledges are moving forward, but global emissions are still increasing. They aren’t even starting to drop yet. We need a 45% drop in global emissions at least by 2030 to stay below 1.5C of warming. I feel we should be talking about that one statistic more than anything else.
We must adapt to climate change
We also need to make adaptation an everyday word and ingrained into everything we do. Thousands of people and billions of animals died last year due to extreme weather that is increasing because of climate change. Climate risk is not a niche subject, and the world is nowhere near well-adapted.
The absence of a simple target to explain it should not be the reason for not acting on adaptation. Every community, business, and region should be thinking about how it can boost its resilience to previously unprecedented levels of heat, fire, flood and drought.
Climate risk is not a niche subject, and the world is nowhere near well-adapted.
What I have also been feeling the weight of is that ‘we’ (‘climate people’) live in a bubble. Most of our collective analysis of COP26 on social media has no doubt fallen on the ears of those who are already signed up to the need to act.
My husband, who is not in that bubble, refers to this phenomenon as ‘keyboard warrioring’. And he is right; talking about it is extremely important, as is talking about it to non-climate audiences. Doing something about it is even more so.